{"id":2199,"date":"2006-09-14T04:05:00","date_gmt":"2006-09-14T04:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/2006\/09\/14\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/"},"modified":"2021-07-29T03:52:04","modified_gmt":"2021-07-29T07:52:04","slug":"modern-forecasting-in-purchasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/","title":{"rendered":"Modern Forecasting in Purchasing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, after a long day of air travel out of Pittsburgh and a beautiful night swim in the desert heat of Rancho Mirage, I\u2019m settling in to share some more purchasing thoughts with you!<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t miss updates on Procurement &amp; Supply Chain, Subscribe here!<\/p>\n<p>Coast-to-coast air travel gives me lots of time to read business magazines. My laptop battery bites the dust after about two hours on the plane and my thumbs can only take so much microtyping on my Palm Treo.<\/p>\n<p>One of my favorite on-the-road magazines is Business 2.0, though it rarely mentions corporate purchasing. But the September issue did! And it specifically related to a topic that I discuss from time to time in my purchasing articles such as \u201cTactical vs Strategic Purchasing\u201d \u2013 forecasting.<\/p>\n<p>The article \u201cThe Wisdom of the Corporate Crowd\u201d gives a great example of how the purchasing function can be strategic by giving some background on how Hewlett-Packard\u2019s commodity managers play a key role in HP\u2019s profitability, specifically through their forecasting. It compares their traditional way of forecasting with their new way.<\/p>\n<p>The article says \u201cOn the first Tuesday of every month, 10 or so commodity managers from across Hewlett-Packard\u2019s hardware divisions dial in for a conference call \u2013 but the civility often ends there. For an hour or more, they bicker, squabble, and joust over one seemingly innocuous question: What will the price of DRAM memory chips be in one month, three months, or six? \u2018Usually, it\u2019s the loudest, most obnoxious guy who gets heard, \u2018 says HP research scientist Leslie Fine.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>These meetings culminate with \u201can official forecast that 70 HP buyers rely on to price more than $50 billion in HP computers and other hardware \u2013 often months before the chips that go in them are bought. If the forecasts miss by even a few cents, the difference, which can add up to millions of dollars, comes out of HP\u2019s slim profit margin for hardware.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Strategic purchasing? You bet!<\/p>\n<p>The article goes on to describe how HP is experimenting with an innovation in forecasting where they\u2019ve developed an internal Web-based, game-like model that simulates a stock market style exchange and rewards the best players (the commodity managers) with cash prizes.<\/p>\n<p>And how is it working?<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s beating the pants off of the traditional way!<\/p>\n<p>Gosh, I love to see creative ideas break new ground.<\/p>\n<p>OK. My room service meal of pizza and a $9 piece of cake should be here soon, so I gotta go.<\/p>\n<p>Greetings from steamy California!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, after a long day of air travel out of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":4017,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-procurement"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.13 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Modern Forecasting in Purchasing - Next Level Purchasing Association (NLPA)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Modern Forecasting in Purchasing - Next Level Purchasing Association (NLPA)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Well, after a long day of air travel out of [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Next Level Purchasing Association (NLPA)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/NextLevelPurchasing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2006-09-14T04:05:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-07-29T07:52:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/nlpa-images-027.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1071\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Galo Matagay\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@nextlevelpurch\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@nextlevelpurch\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Galo Matagay\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Galo Matagay\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/#\/schema\/person\/72d094fab77892483dfa6e061cb27eaa\"},\"headline\":\"Modern Forecasting in Purchasing\",\"datePublished\":\"2006-09-14T04:05:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-07-29T07:52:04+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\"},\"wordCount\":423,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Procurement\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.certitrek.com\/nlpa\/blog\/modern-forecasting-in-purchasing\/\",\"name\":\"Modern Forecasting in Purchasing - 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